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President Trump speaks during a Make America Great rally in Missoula, Mont., on Oct. 18, 2018.
President Trump speaks during a Make America Great rally in Missoula, Mont., on Oct. 18, 2018. NICHOLAS KAMM, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Trump speaks during a Make America Great rally in Missoula, Mont. on Oct. 18, 2018.
President Trump speaks during a Make America Great rally in Missoula, Mont. on Oct. 18, 2018. NICHOLAS KAMM, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Trump arrives as the sun sets to speak at a campaign rally at Minuteman Aviation Hangar on Oct. 18, 2018, in Missoula, Mont.
President Trump arrives as the sun sets to speak at a campaign rally at Minuteman Aviation Hangar on Oct. 18, 2018, in Missoula, Mont. CAROLYN KASTER, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump speaks at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket, Friday, Oct. 12, 2018, in Lebanon, Ohio.
President Donald Trump speaks at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket, Friday, Oct. 12, 2018, in Lebanon, Ohio. John Minchillo, APFullscreenU.S. Rep. Jim Renacci, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Ohio, left, shakes hands with President Donald Trump at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket, Friday, Oct. 12, 2018, in Lebanon, Ohio.
U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Ohio, left, shakes hands with President Donald Trump at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket, Friday, Oct. 12, 2018, in Lebanon, Ohio. John Minchillo, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump takes questions from a gathering of reporters next to Air Force One at Lunken Airport in Cincinnati on Friday, Oct. 12, 2018. President Trump visited the Cincinnati area for a MAGA Rally at the Warren County Fair Grounds in Lebanon, Ohio, Friday night.
President Donald Trump takes questions from a gathering of reporters next to Air Force One at Lunken Airport in Cincinnati on Friday, Oct. 12, 2018. President Trump visited the Cincinnati area for a MAGA Rally at the Warren County Fair Grounds in Lebanon, Ohio, Friday night. Sam Greene, The Enquirer - USA TODAY NETWORKFullscreenOhio District 1 Congressman Steve Chabot shakes hands with President Donald Trump after he exits Air Force One at Lunken Airport in Cincinnati on Friday, Oct. 12, 2018.
Ohio District 1 Congressman Steve Chabot shakes hands with President Donald Trump after he exits Air Force One at Lunken Airport in Cincinnati on Friday, Oct. 12, 2018. Sam Greene, The Enquirer - USA TODAY NETWORKFullscreenU.S. Congressman Lou Barletta, right, speaks beside President Donald Trump at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket in Pennsylvania on Wednesday, Oct. 10, 2018 in Erie, Pa.
U.S. Congressman Lou Barletta, right, speaks beside President Donald Trump at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket in Pennsylvania on Wednesday, Oct. 10, 2018 in Erie, Pa. Keith Srakocic, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump is seen on stage with Rep. Mike Kelly and his wife Victoria during a rally at the Erie Insurance Arena in Erie, Pennsylvania on Oct. 10, 2018.
President Donald Trump is seen on stage with Rep. Mike Kelly and his wife Victoria during a rally at the Erie Insurance Arena in Erie, Pennsylvania on Oct. 10, 2018. Mandel Ngan, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump greets Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds  during a campaign rally at the Mid-America Center on Oct. 9, 2018 in Council Bluffs. Iowa The rally is one of several Trump has scheduled recently in support of Republican candidates running in the upcoming midterm election.
President Donald Trump greets Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds during a campaign rally at the Mid-America Center on Oct. 9, 2018 in Council Bluffs. Iowa The rally is one of several Trump has scheduled recently in support of Republican candidates running in the upcoming midterm election. Scott Olson, Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump is greeted by supporters upon arrival in Topeka, Kansas, Oct. 6, 2018.
President Donald Trump is greeted by supporters upon arrival in Topeka, Kansas, Oct. 6, 2018. NICHOLAS KAMM, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump gestures while speaking during a campaign rally at Kansas Expocentre, Saturday, Oct. 6, 2018 in Topeka, Kan.
President Donald Trump gestures while speaking during a campaign rally at Kansas Expocentre, Saturday, Oct. 6, 2018 in Topeka, Kan. Pablo Martinez Monsivais, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump, on board Air Force One, gestures while watching a live television broadcast of the Senate confirmation vote of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, Saturday, Oct. 6, 2018. Trump was traveling from Washington enroute to Topeka, Kan., for a campaign rally.
President Donald Trump, on board Air Force One, gestures while watching a live television broadcast of the Senate confirmation vote of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, Saturday, Oct. 6, 2018. Trump was traveling from Washington enroute to Topeka, Kan., for a campaign rally. Pablo Martinez Monsivais, APFullscreenPresident Trump makes his second visit to Minnesota, with a rally on  Oct. 4, 2018, in Rochester, Minn.
President Trump makes his second visit to Minnesota, with a rally on Oct. 4, 2018, in Rochester, Minn. GLEN STUBBE, Star Tribune via APFullscreenSupporters of President Trump cheer as he arrives for a campaign rally at the Mayo Civic Center on Oct. 4, 2018, in Rochester, Minn.
Supporters of President Trump cheer as he arrives for a campaign rally at the Mayo Civic Center on Oct. 4, 2018, in Rochester, Minn. EVAN VUCCI, APFullscreenPresident Trump greets Rep. Jason Lewis  who is in a tight race in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, during a rally in Rochester, Minn. on Oct. 4, 2018.
President Trump greets Rep. Jason Lewis who is in a tight race in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, during a rally in Rochester, Minn. on Oct. 4, 2018. CRAIG LASSIG, EPA-EFEFullscreenPresident Trump waves to supporters as he leaves the stage after speaking during a rally in Rochester, Minn. on Oct. 4, 2018.
President Trump waves to supporters as he leaves the stage after speaking during a rally in Rochester, Minn. on Oct. 4, 2018. CRAIG LASSIG, EPA-EFEFullscreenPresident Donald Trump reacts to supporters as he leaves a rally Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018, in Southaven, Miss.
President Donald Trump reacts to supporters as he leaves a rally Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018, in Southaven, Miss. Rogelio V. Solis, APFullscreenMichele Stuber of Holly Springs, Miss., waves her homemade President Donald Trump fan at a rally Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018, in Southaven, Miss.
Michele Stuber of Holly Springs, Miss., waves her homemade President Donald Trump fan at a rally Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018, in Southaven, Miss. Rogelio V. Solis, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump arrives at a "Make America Great Again" rally at Landers Center in Southaven, Mississippi, on Oct. 2, 2018.
President Donald Trump arrives at a "Make America Great Again" rally at Landers Center in Southaven, Mississippi, on Oct. 2, 2018. MANDEL NGAN, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Trump speaks during a "Make America Great Again" rally in Las Vegas,  on Sept. 20, 2018.
President Trump speaks during a "Make America Great Again" rally in Las Vegas, on Sept. 20, 2018. MANDEL NGAN, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Trump steps off Air Force One upon arrival at McCarran International Airport in Las Vegas for a campaign rally on Sept. 20, 2018.
President Trump steps off Air Force One upon arrival at McCarran International Airport in Las Vegas for a campaign rally on Sept. 20, 2018. MANDEL NGAN, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Trump makes his way to board Air Force One before departing from Andrews Air Force Base in Maryland on Sept. 20, 2018. Trump is heading to Las Vegas for a campaign rally.
President Trump makes his way to board Air Force One before departing from Andrews Air Force Base in Maryland on Sept. 20, 2018. Trump is heading to Las Vegas for a campaign rally. MANDEL NGAN, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenUS President Donald Trump arrives for a political rally at Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, West Virginia, on August 21, 2018. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images ORG XMIT: US Presid ORIG FILE ID: AFP_18I6TF
President Donald Trump arrives for a political rally at the Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, W.Va., on Aug. 21, 2018. AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenSupporters cheers for US President Donald Trump during a political rally at Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, West Virginia on August 21, 2018. - Trump's administration announced a plan on August 21 to weaken regulations on US coal plants, giving a boost to an industry that former leader Barack Obama had hoped to wind down in order to cut harmful emissions that drive global warming. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images ORG XMIT: US Presid ORIG FILE ID: AFP_18I6TU
Supporters cheer for President Trump during a political rally at the Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, W.Va. on Aug. 21, 2018. AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenUS President Donald Trump speaks during a political rally at Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, West Virginia on August 21, 2018. - Trump's administration announced a plan on August 21 to weaken regulations on US coal plants, giving a boost to an industry that former leader Barack Obama had hoped to wind down in order to cut harmful emissions that drive global warming. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images ORG XMIT: US Presid ORIG FILE ID: AFP_18I6U3
President Trump speaks during a political rally at the Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, W.Va. on Aug. 21, 2018. AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump, center, speaks as supporters cheer during a rally Tuesday, Aug. 21, 2018, in Charleston, W.Va. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) ORG XMIT: WVAB130
President Trump speaks during a political rally at the Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, W.Va. on Aug. 21, 2018. ALEX BRANDON, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump pauses while speaking during a rally Tuesday, Aug. 21, 2018, in Charleston, W.Va. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) ORG XMIT: WVAB120
President Trump speaks during a political rally at the Charleston Civic Center. ALEX BRANDON, APFullscreenCHARLESTON, WV - AUGUST 21:  Coal miners listen as President Donald Trump speaks at a rally on August 21, 2018 in Charleston, West Virginia. Paul Manafort, a former campaign manager for Trump and a longtime political operative, was found guilty in a Washington court today of not paying taxes on more than $16 million in income and lying to banks where he was seeking loans.  (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) ORG XMIT: 775209406 ORIG FILE ID: 1020987588
Coal miners listen as President Trump speaks. SPENCER PLATT, Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump speaks at a rally to show support for Ohio Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson on Aug. 4, 2018 in Lewis Center, Ohio.  Balderson faces Democratic challenger Danny O'Connor for Ohio's 12th Congressional District on Tuesday.
President Trump speaks at a rally to show support for Ohio Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson on Aug. 4, 2018, in Lewis Center, Ohio. Balderson faced Democratic challenger Danny O'Connor for Ohio's 12th Congressional District. Scott Olson, Getty ImagesFullscreen12th Congressional District Republican candidate Troy Balderson, left, reaches for President Donald Trump as he speaks at a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018.
12th Congressional District Republican candidate Troy Balderson, left, reaches for President Donald Trump as he speaks at a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018. Carolyn Kaster, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump speaks at a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018.
President Donald Trump speaks at a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018. Carolyn Kaster, APFullscreenGuests attend a rally where President Donald Trump was speaking to show support for Ohio Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson on Aug. 4, 2018 in Lewis Center, Ohio. Balderson faces Democratic challenger Danny O'Connor for Ohio's 12th Congressional District on Tuesday.
Guests attend a rally where President Donald Trump was speaking to show support for Ohio Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson on Aug. 4, 2018, in Lewis Center, Ohio.  Scott Olson, Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump, right, shakes hands with Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, left, during a rally, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018, in Lewis Center, Ohio.
President Donald Trump, right, shakes hands with Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, left, during a rally, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018, in Lewis Center, Ohio. John Minchillo, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump speaks to supporters in an overflow room before a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio on Aug. 4, 2018.
President Donald Trump speaks to supporters in an overflow room before a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio on Aug. 4, 2018. Mandel Ngan, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenSupporters of President Donald Trump attend a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, on Aug. 4, 2018.
Supporters of President Donald Trump attend a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, on Aug. 4, 2018. Mandel Ngan, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump pauses as he speaks during a rally, Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, at Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza in Wilkes Barre, Pa..
President Donald Trump pauses as he speaks during a rally, Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, at Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza in Wilkes Barre, Pa.. Carolyn Kaster, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump, right, greets Senate candidate Rep. Lou Barletta, R-Pa., during a rally, Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, in Wilkes-Barre, Pa.
President Donald Trump, right, greets Senate candidate Rep. Lou Barletta, R-Pa., during a rally, Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. Matt Rourke, APFullscreenA woman poses for a photograph as she waits in line to enter a campaign rally with President Donald Trump and Senate candidate Rep. Lou Barletta, R-Pa., Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018 in Wilkes-Barre, Pa.
A woman poses for a photograph as she waits in line to enter a campaign rally with President Donald Trump and Senate candidate Rep. Lou Barletta, R-Pa., Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018 in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. Matt Rourke, APFullscreenPlacards line the seats inside the Mohegan Sun Arena in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. on Aug. 2, 2018.  US President Donald J. Trump is slated to address his supporters at a rally. This marks Donald Trump's 22nd rally in Pennsylvania and is part of the lead-up to midterm elections this fall.
Placards line the seats inside the Mohegan Sun Arena in Wilkes-Barre, Pa., on Aug. 2, 2018. President Trump is slated to address his supporters at a rally. This marks Donald Trump's 22nd rally in Pennsylvania and is part of the lead-up to midterm elections this fall. Tracie Van Auken, EPA-EFEFullscreenDavid Reinert holds a large "Q" sign while waiting in line on to see President Donald J. Trump at his rally Aug. 2, 2018 at the Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza in Wilkes Barre, Pa. "Q" represents QAnon, a conspiracy theory group that has been seen at recent rallies.
David Reinert holds a large "Q" sign while waiting in line  to see President Trump at his rally Aug. 2, 2018, at the Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza in Wilkes Barre, Pa. "Q" represents QAnon, a conspiracy theory group that has been seen at recent rallies. Rick Loomis, Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald J. Trump reacts to a jubilant crowd at the Florida State Fairgrounds Expo Hall in Tampa, Fla. July 31, 2018. Trump continues to hold rallies around the country in support of his agenda and candidates running in the mid-term elections.
President Trump reacts to a jubilant crowd at the Florida State Fairgrounds Expo Hall in Tampa, Fla.. on July 31, 2018. Trump continues to hold rallies around the country in support of his agenda and candidates running in the mid-term elections. Rod Millington, EPA-EFEFullscreenPresident Donald Trump shakes hands with US Representative Ron DeSantis, Republican of Florida, and candidate for Florida Governor, as he speaks during a campaign rally at Florida State Fairgrounds Expo Hall in Tampa, Fla. on July 31, 2018.
President Trump shakes hands with U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis, R-Fla. and candidate for Florida governor, as he speaks during a campaign rally at the Florida State Fairgrounds Expo Hall in Tampa, Fla., on July 31, 2018. Saul Loeb, AFP/Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald Trump waves to the cheering crowd as he leaves a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale.
President Trump waves to the cheering crowd as he leaves a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale. Carolyn Kaster, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump reacts to the cheering crowd as he leaves a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale.
President Donald Trump reacts to the cheering crowd as he leaves a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale. Carolyn Kaster, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump looks to GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale during a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and Rosendale.
President Donald Trump looks to GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale during a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and Rosendale. Carolyn Kaster, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump hugs Senate candidate Rep. Kevin Cramer, R-N.D., during a campaign rally, Wednesday, June 27, 2018, in Fargo, N.D.
President Donald Trump hugs Senate candidate Rep. Kevin Cramer, R-N.D., during a campaign rally, Wednesday, June 27, 2018, in Fargo, N.D. Evan Vucci, APFullscreenPresident Donald Trump arrives to speak at a rally at AMSOIL Arena in Duluth, Minn., Wednesday, June 20, 2018, for Pete Stauber, a Republican congressional candidate running in a traditionally Democratic district.
President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a rally at AMSOIL Arena in Duluth, Minn., Wednesday, June 20, 2018, for Pete Stauber, a Republican congressional candidate running in a traditionally Democratic district. Susan Walsh, APFullscreenU.S. Senate candidate Marsha Blackburn speaks to the crowd as President Donald Trump looks on during his rally at Municipal Auditorium in Nashville.
U.S. Senate candidate Marsha Blackburn speaks to the crowd as President Donald Trump looks on during his rally at Municipal Auditorium in Nashville. Larry McCormack, The Tennessean via USA TODAY NETWORKFullscreenPresident Donald Trump greets Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Mike Braun at a campaign rally on May 10, 2018 in Elkhart, Ind. The crowd filled the 7,500-person-capacity gymnasium.
President Donald Trump greets Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Mike Braun at a campaign rally on May 10, 2018 in Elkhart, Indiana. The crowd filled the 7,500-person-capacity gymnasium. Scott Olson, Getty ImagesFullscreenPresident Donald J. Trump with Rick Saccone speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pa.  The president made a visit in a bid to gain support for Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone who is running for 18th Congressional District in a seat vacated by Tim Murphy.
President Trump, with Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone, speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018, in Moon Township, Pa. The president made a visit in a bid to gain support for Saccone, who is running for the 18th Congressional District in a seat vacated by Tim Murphy. Jeff Swensen, Getty ImagesFullscreen

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    • div">>President Trump speaks during a Make America Great rally in Missoula, Mont., on Oct. 18, 2018.1 of 51
    • div">>President Trump speaks during a Make America Great rally in Missoula, Mont. on Oct. 18, 2018.2 of 51
    • div">>President Trump arrives as the sun sets to speak at a campaign rally at Minuteman Aviation Hangar on Oct. 18, 2018, in Missoula, Mont.3 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump speaks at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket, Friday, Oct. 12, 2018, in Lebanon, Ohio.4 of 51
    • div">>U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Ohio, left, shakes hands with President Donald Trump at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket, Friday, Oct. 12, 2018, in Lebanon, Ohio. 5 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump takes questions from a gathering of reporters next to Air Force One at Lunken Airport in Cincinnati on Friday, Oct. 12, 2018. President Trump visited the Cincinnati area for a MAGA Rally at the Warren County Fair Grounds in Lebanon, Ohio, Friday night.6 of 51
    • div">>Ohio District 1 Congressman Steve Chabot shakes hands with President Donald Trump after he exits Air Force One at Lunken Airport in Cincinnati on Friday, Oct. 12, 2018. 7 of 51
    • div">>U.S. Congressman Lou Barletta, right, speaks beside President Donald Trump at a rally endorsing the Republican ticket in Pennsylvania on Wednesday, Oct. 10, 2018 in Erie, Pa. 8 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump is seen on stage with Rep. Mike Kelly and his wife Victoria during a rally at the Erie Insurance Arena in Erie, Pennsylvania on Oct. 10, 2018.9 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump greets Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds  during a campaign rally at the Mid-America Center on Oct. 9, 2018 in Council Bluffs. Iowa The rally is one of several Trump has scheduled recently in support of Republican candidates running in the upcoming midterm election. 10 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump is greeted by supporters upon arrival in Topeka, Kansas, Oct. 6, 2018. 11 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump gestures while speaking during a campaign rally at Kansas Expocentre, Saturday, Oct. 6, 2018 in Topeka, Kan. 12 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump, on board Air Force One, gestures while watching a live television broadcast of the Senate confirmation vote of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, Saturday, Oct. 6, 2018. Trump was traveling from Washington enroute to Topeka, Kan., for a campaign rally. 13 of 51
    • div">>President Trump makes his second visit to Minnesota, with a rally on  Oct. 4, 2018, in Rochester, Minn.14 of 51
    • div">>Supporters of President Trump cheer as he arrives for a campaign rally at the Mayo Civic Center on Oct. 4, 2018, in Rochester, Minn. 15 of 51
    • div">>President Trump greets Rep. Jason Lewis  who is in a tight race in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, during a rally in Rochester, Minn. on Oct. 4, 2018. 16 of 51
    • div">>President Trump waves to supporters as he leaves the stage after speaking during a rally in Rochester, Minn. on Oct. 4, 2018.17 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump reacts to supporters as he leaves a rally Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018, in Southaven, Miss. 18 of 51
    • div">>Michele Stuber of Holly Springs, Miss., waves her homemade President Donald Trump fan at a rally Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018, in Southaven, Miss. 19 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump arrives at a "Make America Great Again" rally at Landers Center in Southaven, Mississippi, on Oct. 2, 2018.20 of 51
    • div">>President Trump speaks during a "Make America Great Again" rally in Las Vegas,  on Sept. 20, 2018. 21 of 51
    • div">>President Trump steps off Air Force One upon arrival at McCarran International Airport in Las Vegas for a campaign rally on Sept. 20, 2018.22 of 51
    • div">>President Trump makes his way to board Air Force One before departing from Andrews Air Force Base in Maryland on Sept. 20, 2018. Trump is heading to Las Vegas for a campaign rally. 23 of 51
    • div">>US President Donald Trump arrives for a political rally at Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, West Virginia, on August 21, 2018. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images ORG XMIT: US Presid ORIG FILE ID: AFP_18I6TF24 of 51
    • div">>Supporters cheers for US President Donald Trump during a political rally at Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, West Virginia on August 21, 2018. - Trump's administration announced a plan on August 21 to weaken regulations on US coal plants, giving a boost to an industry that former leader Barack Obama had hoped to wind down in order to cut harmful emissions that drive global warming. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images ORG XMIT: US Presid ORIG FILE ID: AFP_18I6TU25 of 51
    • div">>US President Donald Trump speaks during a political rally at Charleston Civic Center in Charleston, West Virginia on August 21, 2018. - Trump's administration announced a plan on August 21 to weaken regulations on US coal plants, giving a boost to an industry that former leader Barack Obama had hoped to wind down in order to cut harmful emissions that drive global warming. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images ORG XMIT: US Presid ORIG FILE ID: AFP_18I6U326 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump, center, speaks as supporters cheer during a rally Tuesday, Aug. 21, 2018, in Charleston, W.Va. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) ORG XMIT: WVAB13027 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump pauses while speaking during a rally Tuesday, Aug. 21, 2018, in Charleston, W.Va. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) ORG XMIT: WVAB12028 of 51
    • div">>CHARLESTON, WV - AUGUST 21:  Coal miners listen as President Donald Trump speaks at a rally on August 21, 2018 in Charleston, West Virginia. Paul Manafort, a former campaign manager for Trump and a longtime political operative, was found guilty in a Washington court today of not paying taxes on more than $16 million in income and lying to banks where he was seeking loans.  (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) ORG XMIT: 775209406 ORIG FILE ID: 102098758829 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump speaks at a rally to show support for Ohio Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson on Aug. 4, 2018 in Lewis Center, Ohio.  Balderson faces Democratic challenger Danny O'Connor for Ohio's 12th Congressional District on Tuesday.  30 of 51
    • div">>12th Congressional District Republican candidate Troy Balderson, left, reaches for President Donald Trump as he speaks at a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018.31 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump speaks at a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018. 32 of 51
    • div">>Guests attend a rally where President Donald Trump was speaking to show support for Ohio Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson on Aug. 4, 2018 in Lewis Center, Ohio. Balderson faces Democratic challenger Danny O'Connor for Ohio's 12th Congressional District on Tuesday.33 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump, right, shakes hands with Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, left, during a rally, Saturday, Aug. 4, 2018, in Lewis Center, Ohio. 34 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump speaks to supporters in an overflow room before a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio on Aug. 4, 2018. 35 of 51
    • div">>Supporters of President Donald Trump attend a rally at Olentangy Orange High School in Lewis Center, Ohio, on Aug. 4, 2018. 36 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump pauses as he speaks during a rally, Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, at Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza in Wilkes Barre, Pa.. 37 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump, right, greets Senate candidate Rep. Lou Barletta, R-Pa., during a rally, Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018, in Wilkes-Barre, Pa.38 of 51
    • div">>A woman poses for a photograph as she waits in line to enter a campaign rally with President Donald Trump and Senate candidate Rep. Lou Barletta, R-Pa., Thursday, Aug. 2, 2018 in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. 39 of 51
    • div">>Placards line the seats inside the Mohegan Sun Arena in Wilkes-Barre, Pa. on Aug. 2, 2018.  US President Donald J. Trump is slated to address his supporters at a rally. This marks Donald Trump's 22nd rally in Pennsylvania and is part of the lead-up to midterm elections this fall.40 of 51
    • div">>David Reinert holds a large "Q" sign while waiting in line on to see President Donald J. Trump at his rally Aug. 2, 2018 at the Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza in Wilkes Barre, Pa. "Q" represents QAnon, a conspiracy theory group that has been seen at recent rallies.41 of 51
    • div">>President Donald J. Trump reacts to a jubilant crowd at the Florida State Fairgrounds Expo Hall in Tampa, Fla. July 31, 2018. Trump continues to hold rallies around the country in support of his agenda and candidates running in the mid-term elections. 42 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump shakes hands with US Representative Ron DeSantis, Republican of Florida, and candidate for Florida Governor, as he speaks during a campaign rally at Florida State Fairgrounds Expo Hall in Tampa, Fla. on July 31, 2018. 43 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump waves to the cheering crowd as he leaves a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale. 44 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump reacts to the cheering crowd as he leaves a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale. 45 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump looks to GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale during a rally at the Four Seasons Arena at Montana ExpoPark, Thursday, July 5, 2018, in Great Falls, Mont., in support of Rep. Greg Gianforte, R-Mont., and Rosendale. 46 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump hugs Senate candidate Rep. Kevin Cramer, R-N.D., during a campaign rally, Wednesday, June 27, 2018, in Fargo, N.D. 47 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a rally at AMSOIL Arena in Duluth, Minn., Wednesday, June 20, 2018, for Pete Stauber, a Republican congressional candidate running in a traditionally Democratic district. 48 of 51
    • div">>U.S. Senate candidate Marsha Blackburn speaks to the crowd as President Donald Trump looks on during his rally at Municipal Auditorium in Nashville.49 of 51
    • div">>President Donald Trump greets Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Mike Braun at a campaign rally on May 10, 2018 in Elkhart, Ind. The crowd filled the 7,500-person-capacity gymnasium.50 of 51
    • div">>President Donald J. Trump with Rick Saccone speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pa.  The president made a visit in a bid to gain support for Republican congressional candidate Rick Saccone who is running for 18th Congressional District in a seat vacated by Tim Murphy.51 of 51
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    President Donald Trump speaks to a crowd at Eastern Kentucky University on Saturday in Richmond, Ky.(Photo: Timothy D. Easley, AP)

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    WASHINGTON – In a midterm election that is rallying Democrats across the nation, the bitterly fought battle for control of the Senate may be President Donald Trump's best hope for a bright spot when voters head to the polls.

    After months of Trump rallies and millions raised and spent, the fundamentals have not changed: Democrats are counting on a fired-up base still seething over the 2016 election to push their candidates over the edge. Republicans note that Democrats are playing defense, with 10 incumbents fighting to survive in states Trump won big.

    "All things considered, not that much has changed," said Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. "This is one of the worst maps, if not the worse map, that Democrats have ever faced since the beginning of popular elections."

    The humming economy, the visceral debate over Justice Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation and the country's lingering challenges in immigration and health care will play into the 35 Senate races on the ballot. Overriding all of that is Trump himself, a president who calls attention to – and critics say exacerbates – partisan divisions. 

    Hello! We’ve got complete midterm election coverage right here. Let’s begin!

    Unlike in the House, Republicans are favored to hold the Senate. Despite the GOP's thin 51-49-seat margin, the map and the math have long looked tough for Democrats. 

    More: GOP congresswoman faces closest race yet in 'year of the woman'

    More: Trump's midterm campaign themes: Kavanaugh, impeachment, nicknames

    Endangered incumbent

    Democrats like North Dakota’s Heidi Heitkamp and Indiana’s Joe Donnelly are strong campaigners who have eschewed the party label and portrayed themselves as populists. But their states have also become increasingly Republican and both face strong, well-funded candidates. 

    Democrats are forcing Republicans to sweat out races in Arizona, Nevada and Tennessee. But the path for Democrats to pick up the two new seats they'd need to win control remains narrow.

    Here's a race-by-race look at the nation's key Senate contests, with ratings from Inside Elections, which provides nonpartisan analysis.

    Red-state Democrats

    Montana

    Incumbent: Democrat Jon Tester

    Inside Elections rating: Tilt Democratic

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 56%, Clinton: 36%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/8d2ac6a0305c5653dcff5b5dc55f9c3942964cd8/c=120-0-6485-4786/local/-/media/2017/07/11/USATODAY/USATODAY/636353782813068210-XXX-Capital-Download-with-Sen.-Jon-Tester.-jmg-30219.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=crop" alt="Montana Sen. Jon Tester is among the Democratic incumbents" width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    Montana Sen. Jon Tester is among the Democratic incumbents raising big sums for the 2018 election. (Photo: Jack Gruber, USA TODAY)

    When Trump scheduled his first rally in Montana in July, incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester “welcomed” him with a full-page ad in the state’s newspapers. Trump, the ad noted, had signed more than a dozen bills Tester supported in the Senate.

    “Thank you President Trump,” the ad read.

    Given the president’s 20-point margin of victory in the Treasure State in 2016, it made sense for Tester to cozy up. It was also doomed from the start.

    More: Montana Democrat Jon Tester on U.S. Senate race and goals

    Even before the midterm election season was in full swing, Tester drew barbed and personal attacks from Trump because of the controversy surrounding Ronny Jackson, the White House physician whose nomination to head the Department of Veterans Affairs was withdrawn over allegations of the freewheeling prescriptions and other misconduct. It was Tester, the 62-year-old ranking Democrat on the Senate Veterans Affairs Committee, who aired many of those allegations.

    Trump warned Tester would “have a big price to pay” over the controversy.

    Now Tester is running for a third term with a razor-thin polling lead over Republican Matt Rosendale, the 58-year-old state auditor. Rosendale, who initially supported Texas Sen. Ted Cruz for president, has embraced Trump enthusiastically. 

    Trump is a factor in every state this year, but analysts say his influence in Montana has been especially pronounced. 

    “The Republican base remains very committed to Trump,” said Jeremy Johnson, a political scientist at Carroll College. “And Rosendale has closely associated himself with that.”

    Missouri

    Incumbent: Republican Dean Heller

    Inside Elections rating: Toss-up

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 46%, Clinton: 48%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/8ee8f8fde0744b151dc4d2d3b4b34218e479651b/c=0-127-3368-2659/local/-/media/2018/04/15/Springfield/Springfield/636594070847755117-AP18103767485649.jpg?width=540&height=405&fit=crop" alt="FILE - In this Aug. 17, 2017, file photo, Democratic" width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    FILE - In this Aug. 17, 2017, file photo, Democratic U.S. Sen. Claire McCaskill, left, talks with Republican Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley in Sedalia, Mo. Missouri Democrats are using Republican Gov. Eric Greitens' political and legal woes to try to attack Hawley, the top GOP candidate in a hotly contested U.S. Senate race. Democrats are seeking to tie Hawley to Greitens while Hawley is vying for Sen. Claire McCaskill's seat. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel, File) (Photo: Charlie Riedel, AP)

    Trump’s 18-point win in Missouri helped Republicans sweep every statewide office on the ballot in 2016, leaving Sen. Claire McCaskill the only Democrat still standing.

    Now the White House is trying to finish the job.

    Vice President Mike Pence helped convince Republican Attorney General Josh Hawley to run and he and Trump have hosted fundraisers and rallies for Hawley, cut ads and offered advice.

    There’s a lot of overlap between Missouri voters and the Trump coalition, including rural residents, blue-collar Democrats and a higher-than-average evangelical population.

    More:Health care, finance questions spark debate between McCaskill, Hawley

    Like the other red state Democrats, McCaskill has emphasized health care as an issue that energizes the base but also has appeal to other voters. She’s helped by the fact that Hawley is among the GOP attorney generals trying to overturn the Affordable Care Act in a lawsuit.

    While Hawley has been forced to go on the defense on health care, Republicans have sought to portray McCaskill as an elitist. One opening she gave them was using her private plane during a three-day tour of the state.

    Republicans are counting on the Supreme Court fight over Justice Brett Kavanaugh to goose their turnout. Democrats are trying to increase participation from African-Americans and suburban women

    Ballot initiatives, including proposals to legalize medical marijuana and raise the minimum wage, may also influence the outcome.

    “Turnout is going to be a function of a whole bunch of stuff,” said Dave Robertson, a University of Missouri political scientist, “including unpredictable impacts of some initiatives that are on the ballot that could pull out all kinds of voters.”

    North Dakota

    Incumbent: Democrat Heidi Heitkamp

    Inside Elections rating: Tilt Republican

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 63%, Clinton: 27%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/922d2fd071950ea2901468c406190079bc0c5a1f/c=90-0-3261-2384/local/-/media/2018/07/03/USATODAY/USATODAY/636662379609349232-AP-AP-Fact-Check-North-Dakota-Heitkamp-100776415.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=crop" alt="In this March 17, 2018, file photo, Democratic Sen." width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    In this March 17, 2018, file photo, Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp arrives for the state Democratic party convention in Grand Forks, N.D. Heitkamp is one of a group of Democrats facing tough re-elections who could vote for President Trump's Supreme Court nominee. (Photo: James MacPherson, AP)

    Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D., had been touting how often she’s worked with Trump as she seeks re-election in a state the president carried by 36 percentage points.

    Then came Brett Kavanaugh.

    Although she was one of only three Democrats who backed Trump’s first Supreme Court nominee, Neil Gorsuch, Heitkamp opposed Kavanaugh. She did so despite polls showing she was already running behind GOP challenger Kevin Cramer.

    More: Senator apologizes after naming sexual abuse victims in political ad

    She aired a one-minute ad explaining her vote and criticized comments Cramer made about sexual misconduct victims. But Heitkamp had to apologize for an ad that incorrectly identified victims of sexual abuse.

    Heitkamp has called herself a “unicorn” as a “middle-aged red-headed Democrat” who pulled out a victory in one of the country’s most conservative states in 2012. That victory was one of the year’s biggest upsets and she began this year as the top GOP target.

    Still, she’s had some advantages. The effect of Trump’s trade policies on North Dakota has been hard for Cramer to defend to the state’s farmers.

    Heitkamp stood next to Trump in the Oval Office in May when he signed legislation that she supported to ease banking regulations.

    But Kyle Kondick, managing editor of the University of Virginia's electoral analysis website, said the Supreme Court battle may have reminded too many North Dakotans that Heitkamp – while likable – is still a Democrat.

    “Heitkamp’s personal numbers are quite good,” he said. “She’s just in a tough spot in this very Republican state.”

    Indiana

    Incumbent: Democrat Joe Donnelly

    Inside Elections rating: Toss-up

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 57%, Clinton: 38%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/presto/2018/10/09/PIND/d5c543ef-cb7e-4263-b577-d41cbdcea210-AP18282002746871.jpg?width=540&height=405&fit=bounds&auto=webp" alt="Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly (left) wraps up a debate Monday with Republican Mike Braun in Westville." width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly (left) wraps up a debate Monday with Republican Mike Braun in Westville. (Photo: Darron Cummings/AP)

    Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly has managed to keep his re-election bid alive in conservative Indiana by courting both the business community and labor, playing up his support for parts of Trump’s agenda while accusing his opponent of being a “copy machine,” and bringing in former Vice President Joe Biden while distancing himself from liberal Sen. Bernie Sanders.

    Denouncing the “radical left” in a recent ad that manages to name drop both Trump and former president Ronald Reagan, Donnelly boasts that a government takeover of health care will only happen “over my dead body.”

    The ad prompted howls from liberals who had recently cheered Donnelly for voting against the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

    More: Indiana Senate race: Pacers star Victor Oladipo endorses Joe Donnelly 

    The moderate Democrat has the difficult task of keeping Democrats galvanized behind his re-election while not turning off enough of the Republicans he’ll need in this GOP state that Trump carried by 19 points.

    Republican challenger Mike Braun, a businessman and former state lawmaker, won a caustic primary against two House members by portraying himself as the outsider in the mold of Trump who wants to drain the swamp.

    Donnelly counterpunched a visit for Braun by Vice President Mike Pence with a dueling appearance by his predecessor, using Biden to draw out more than 2,000 people in the heavily Democratic northwestern corner of the state where Donnelly will need to rack up the vote.

    Donnelly also needs a big turnout in liberal Bloomington, where Sanders recently campaigned for a Democratic House challenger who supports “Medicare for all.”

    Donnelly prefers to talk about the “right-to-try” legislation he worked on that Trump signed into law – granting terminally ill patients easier access to experimental drugs – and the high deductibles Braun’s employees pay for their own health insurance.

    West 

    Virginia

    Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin

    Inside Elections rating: Tilt Democratic

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 68%, Clinton: 26%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/fd2095f79de6a96352c988fc51d9e324bd96c583/c=159-0-3007-2141/local/-/media/2018/02/06/USATODAY/USATODAY/636535188051800276-AFP-AFP-YD9AN-97042526.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=crop" alt="President Trump embraces Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va.," width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    President Trump embraces Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., after speaking during the State of the Union address before Congress at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., Jan. 30, 2018. (Photo: Saul Loeb, AFP/Getty Images)

    West Virginia Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin should have been an easy target.

    Once considered among the most vulnerable incumbents, the 71-year-old first-term senator represents a state Trump won by an astounding 42 points, his second-largest margin behind only Wyoming.

    But polls show Manchin with a steady, slim lead over the state’s Republican attorney general, Patrick Morrisey. And recent campaign finance reports show Manchin has nearly three times as much money as Morrissey in the final weeks of the race.

    More: Sen. Joe Manchin regrets endorsing Hillary and is open to backing Trump 

    The former governor drew derision from all sides this month when he became the only Democrat to support Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Donald Trump Jr. mocked Manchin as “a real profile in courage” for not announcing his position until it was clear Kavanaugh already had the votes he needed.

    “I bet he had another press release ready to go if Collins went the other way,” Trump wrote on Twitter.

    But Manchin, among the most conservative Democrats in Washington, frequently breaks with his party to back Trump. He was the only Democrat this year to oppose guidance intended to stop auto lenders from charging more based on race. He was one of six Democrats to support Gina Haspel to head the CIA.

    Supporters say the approach has earned him support from some independents and Republicans in the state, and they predict it has cost him few Democrats.

    “Joe Manchin’s been around forever,” said Mike Plante, a consultant who once worked for the senator. “Once they elect a senator, West Virginians feel like they know them and they’re invested.”

    Tennessee 

    Incumbent: Republican Sen. Bob Corker (retiring) 

    Inside Elections rating: Lean Republican

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 61%, Clinton: 35%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/presto/2018/10/17/USAT/31d4a102-7b25-4b81-8ded-60857f03f07f-AP_Election_2018_Senate_Debate.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=bounds&auto=webp" alt="Democratic candidate and former Gov. Phil Bredesen and Republican U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn take part in the 2018 Tennessee U.S. Senate Debate at The University of Tennessee Wednesday, Oct. 10, 2018, in Knoxville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey) ORG XMIT: TNMH1" width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    Democratic candidate and former Gov. Phil Bredesen and Republican U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn take part in the 2018 Tennessee U.S. Senate Debate at The University of Tennessee Wednesday, Oct. 10, 2018, in Knoxville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey) ORG XMIT: TNMH1 (Photo: Mark Humphrey, AP)

    Eight-term Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn is keen to remind voters of a point that sometimes gets lost in this heated Senate battle in the heart of Trump country: Her opponent, former Gov. Phil Bredesen, is a Democrat.

    A former mayor of Nashville, Bredesen has often distanced himself from his own party, vowing to oppose Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and touting the "A" rating he once received from the National Rifle Association.

    He broke with most red-state Democrats by supporting Kavanaugh.

    “He’s making inroads among Republicans and if that holds he can win,” said John G. Geer, a political scientist at Vanderbilt and a co-director of the Vanderbilt Poll. “But if they come back to the party, he’s in trouble.”

    That’s a big part of the reason why the 66-year-old Blackburn, who represents a district west of Nashville, went after Bredesen hard in a recent debate for opposing Trump’s border wall. Blackburn has sought to tie Bredesen to Schumer and former President Barack Obama.

    "Walls work,” she said during the Oct. 10 debate. “Just ask Israel."

    Democrats haven’t won a statewide contest in Tennessee since 2006, when Bredesen, 74, won a second term as governor. Trump carried the state in 2016 by a 26-point margin.

    Bredesen, who frequently talks about the need to bridge partisan divides, has countered Blackburn’s criticism by framing her as a partisan.

    “If you like Washington the way it is today,” Bredesen said during the debate, gesturing to Blackburn, “you’ve got somebody who’s got a lot of experience.” 

    Republicans on defense

    Nevada

    Incumbent: Republican Dean Heller

    Inside Elections rating: Toss-up

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 46%, Clinton: 48%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/38f287cdb524567757cd04429c93779bc3eea0f2/c=294-0-4890-3456/local/-/media/2017/08/20/USATODAY/USATODAY/636388604818545392-GTY-818905680-92479455.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=crop" alt="President Donald Trump delivers remarks on health care" width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    President Donald Trump delivers remarks on health care and Republicans' inability thus far to replace or repeal the Affordable Care Act, beside Sen. Dean Heller, R-Nev., during a lunch with members of Congress in the State Dining Room of the White House on July 19, 2017 in Washington, D.C. (Photo: Pool, Getty Images)

    After Sen. Dean Heller opposed a GOP plan to get rid of the Affordable Care Act last year, President Donald Trump asked incredulously: ”He wants to remain a senator, doesn’t he?”

    Days later, Heller backed an Obamacare replacement that narrowly lost – and Democrats have been pounding him for the change of heart ever since.

    Heller, 58, is the only Republican senator facing re-election in a state Trump lost and he’s had a difficult time finding a way to please either camp.

    Of Trump himself, Heller has said that 80 percent of what the president’s done has been “very, very good” while the rest has been a “reality TV show.”

    But while Democrats say Heller has given them plenty to work with, Republicans note he has kept the race competitive against Democratic Rep. Jacky Rosen, proving the seat will not be as easy a pickup as Democrats expected.

    Rosen, a former systems analyst and software developer, has only one election under her belt. She won her House seat in 2016, flipping from red to blue a district that Trump carried.

    Running for the Senate six months later, Rosen, 61, focused in early on Latino voters and other minority groups. She’s getting help motivating female voters from national abortion rights groups. And former first lady Michelle Obama dropped in for a voter registration drive last month.

    "My caution for Republicans about Nevada is that Democrats ... are much better about getting their vote out," said Jennifer Duffy, a political analyst for the Cook Political Report. "In a very tight race, you put a little bit of a thumb on scale for Democrats."

    Texas

    Incumbent: Republican Ted Cruz

    Inside Elections rating: Likely Republican

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 52%, Clinton: 43%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/presto/2018/10/17/USAT/ad225ad0-b2d2-474e-af62-3692ff9e7151-GTY_1052321742.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=bounds&auto=webp" alt="Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke and Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in San Antonio on Oct. 16, 2018." width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke and Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in San Antonio on Oct. 16, 2018. (Photo: Tom reel/Pool/Getty Images)

    When Democrats look at Rep. Beto O’Rourke, the 46-year-old congressman challenging Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, they see a hip, Obama-like figure igniting their party in a deeply red state.

    Republicans, including Cruz, see Wendy Davis.

    Davis, the 2014 Democratic nominee for Texas governor, raised gobs of money – just like O’Rourke is doing now – and became a rallying symbol for Democrats across the nation. But Davis, a former state lawmaker, lost in a landslide.

    In a state Trump won in 2016 by nearly 9 points, O’Rourke is forcing Cruz to sweat it. The founder of a tech company who represents the El Paso area, O’Rourke raised a record $38 million in a single quarter this year and has fashioned a folksy image, live-streaming his burger runs and refusing to hire a pollster.

    But Republicans say O’Rourke’s campaign underscores a deeper challenge Democrats face reaching voters on immigration, which polls indicate is the No. 1 issue in Texas.  O’Rourke has blasted Trump’s proposed border wall while Cruz supports it. The two also differ sharply on “Dreamers,” with O’Rourke supporting citizenship for the immigrants brought to the country illegally as children and Cruz dismissing the idea as “amnesty.”

    “When this race was personalities Beto was making up ground,” said Texas-based GOP consultant Matt Mackowiak. “The problem for him is that the race has moved to issues.”

    Pure toss-ups

    Florida 

    Incumbent: Democrat Bill Nelson

    Inside Elections rating: Toss-up

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 49%, Clinton: 48%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/presto/2018/09/05/USAT/22d12b97-689d-4ec0-ba2b-704beb344e41-Scott-Nelson_1.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=bounds&auto=webp" alt="Florida Republican Gov. Rick Scott, left, is hoping to unseat Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla. in November" width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    Florida Republican Gov. Rick Scott, left, is hoping to unseat Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla. in November (Photo: Wilfredo Lee (AP)/John McCall/South Florida Sun-Sentinel via AP)

    For Florida Gov. Rick Scott, this election’s “October surprise” came in the form of a hurricane.

    Campaigning in one of the nation’s most competitive Senate races has largely stopped as the Florida panhandle recovers from deadly Hurricane Michael, and that has left political prognosticators uncertain of the storm’s impact. 

    Polls conducted before the storm found the race in a virtual tie between Scott and incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in a contest where spending is expected to exceed $100 million.

    Analysts note that Panhandle counties most affected by the storm have tended to vote Republican.

    Scott, in his second term as governor, recently began airing an ad that shows him assessing damage from the air and distributing aid.

    Voters already have plenty of material with which to judge Scott, 65, a fiscal conservative who’s made job creation his top priority during eight years as governor, and Nelson, 75, a champion of the nation’s space program and one of the Senate’s centrists.

    Trump narrowly carried the state in 2016, and his approval rating in the Sunshine State has hovered in the mid-40s.

    A key demographic to watch are Hispanics, especially Florida’s growing Puerto Rican community, analysts say. Polls suggest Puerto Rican voters generally have a negative view of Trump, especially following the administration’s response to Hurricane Maria last year. Both Scott and Nelson has visited the island several times.

    “That is Rick Scott’s strength,” said Jennifer Duffy, a political analyst with the Cook Political Report. But the challenge for Republicans is making sure those recently displaced by Hurricane Michael – who could be "very critical votes" – get to the polls.

    Arizona

    Incumbent: Republican Sen. Jeff Flake (retiring) 

    Inside Elections rating: Toss-up

    2016 presidential election results: Trump: 49%, Clinton: 45%

    img itemprop="url" src="https://www.gannett-cdn.com/presto/2018/10/17/USAT/a2fc845a-86f0-4ed9-bae1-58825ffcd03e-AP_Election_2018_Senate_Arizona_Debate.JPG?width=540&height=405&fit=bounds&auto=webp" alt="U.S. Senate candidates, U.S. Rep. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., left, and U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, D-Ariz., prepare their remarks in a television studio prior to a televised debate, Monday, Oct. 15, 2018, in Phoenix. Both ladies are seeking to fill the seat of U.S. Sen. Jake Flake, R-Ariz., who is retiring. (AP Photo/Matt York) ORG XMIT: AZMY106" width="540" data-mycapture-src="" data-mycapture-sm-src=""">>

    U.S. Senate candidates, U.S. Rep. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., left, and U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, D-Ariz., prepare their remarks in a television studio prior to a televised debate, Monday, Oct. 15, 2018, in Phoenix. Both ladies are seeking to fill the seat of U.S. Sen. Jake Flake, R-Ariz., who is retiring. (AP Photo/Matt York) ORG XMIT: AZMY106 (Photo: Matt York, AP)

    Arizona Sen. Jeff Flake cited a lack of civility in politics when he announced his retirement a year ago, giving Democrats an opening in a state where they last won a Senate seat in 1988.

    But Flake’s grievance has had little bearing on the heated race to replace him, where forces aligned with Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema accused Republicans of supporting an “age tax” in their zeal to repeal Obamacare and Republican Rep. Martha McSally charged Sinema with “treason.”

    “It’s a slugfest right now,” said Mike Noble, chief pollster for Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights.

    Both candidates have had to answer for shifting politics in a state where the wider landscape has also evolved. Sinema, 42, whose district is centered in the Phoenix suburb of Tempe, is a former Green Party activist who is now an established centrist. McSally, 52, who once described Trump’s remarks about women as “disgusting,” is now an ardent supporter of the president.

    Whoever wins the hard-fought contest will make history: Arizona has never elected a woman to the Senate.

    Most polls show Sinema with a slight lead in a state Trump won by 4 points, but leading analysts all rate the race a toss-up. 

    McSally, a former Air Force combat pilot, has portrayed Sinema as a liberal, using a picture of her in a pink tutu in ads. She leveled the treason charge based on a 2003 interview in which Sinema told a radio host she didn’t care if he wanted to join the Taliban.

    Sinema countered by calling McSally an “apologist” for Trump.

    Contributing: USA TODAY Network papers, including Great Falls (Mont.) Tribune, Springfield (Mo.) News-Leader, Indianapolis Star, The Tennessean, Reno (Nev.) Gazette-Journal, El Paso Times, The Arizona Republic, Florida Today. 

    Source : https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/22/midterms-donald-trump-major-factor-battleground-senate-races/1672907002/

    17002
    Nevada Woman Has New Reason For Hope On MIA

    Source:E!

    Nevada Woman Has New Reason For Hope On MIA

    Nevada Woman Has New Reason For Hope On MIA

    Source:Wired

    Nevada Woman Has New Reason For Hope On MIA