Donald has always been a force to be reckoned with in Florida, but he's missed two cuts in two starts since returning from injury and there have to be question marks over his general well-being. Landry, meanwhile, has been making cuts without threatening since winning his first PGA Tour title in the spring and this will be his debut in the event. Landry is clearly at his best under demanding conditions, so with Donald not the force of old around the greens there aren't many obvious positives except for the fact they're chalked up as virtual no-hopers at 33/1.
Patton Kizzire & Brian Harman
- Brian Harman has replaced Davis Love; bets on Kizzire and Love will be void and this preview has been edited to reflect the new line-up
Regrettably, Davis Love can't play this week - I had earlier advised an each-way bet on Kizzire and Love - and in steps Harman. The left-hander is a tough competitor who has struggled for much of 2018, having been a regular contender in 2017. There were some more encouraging signs at the RSM Classic last time, but the fact that 32nd place is a positive tells you how poorly he's been playing. Perhaps team golf will spark improvement though and he plays a lot of golf with Kizzire, both at home on Sea Island and when they're preparing for Tour events. As touched upon previously, Kizzire has also endured a difficult year but there have been definite positives lately and his dead-eye putting is a big plus. Harman's off-the-tee accuracy makes them a nice-looking partnership and, at 16/1, I'm happy to keep the faith with Kizzire, whose chances have definitely improved now.
There will be plenty who are willing to write this event off as a betting medium but there are four places on offer with one firm in what's a 12-runner field and there could be some each-way value. Landry and Donald look easy enough to dismiss, Thompson and Finau will do well to match last year's effort while Watson's recent history in the event and Varner's long journey from Australia take them off the shortlist, too.
With the odd exception, winning teams have tended to boast at least one genuinely world-class putter so first on my list are
SNEDEKER, with the latter still among the best around.
Horschel has a flawless return in the event but for last year's pairing with Dufner - two poor putters were never likely to contend - while Snedeker won it with Dufner a few years ago. Horschel's long-game is in great shape and he's a fired-up competitor who is playing in his home state of Florida, alongside a player who has won and finished second in his last ten or so starts and spoke recently of his determination to make 2019 his best year yet.
With both Howell and List and Woodland and Hoffman having questions to answer on the greens, and McDowell not doing enough to carry Grillo in that department, it's Champ and Kisner who rate the main dangers. They have an excellent blend of skills and while Kisner had tongue firmly in cheek when telling social media followers that he's working hard so he doesn't embarrass himself, he will want to keep up his half of the bargain.
Those two are preferred to DeChambeau and Na, the former having surely switched focus to 2019 and the latter not an easy man to play with, and that leaves the defending champions - Stricker and O'Hair - and
Successful partnerships coming back for more have a good record in general - Harris English and Matt Kuchar the most recent examples, but there are many more - and Stricker and O'Hair are respected, but at more than twice the price I'll take a chance on Kizzire and Love.
As Monday readers will know, I was keen on Kizzire and Love at the prices and having weighed up the change in line-up I'm of the belief that 16/1 underestimates Kizzire and his new partner, Harman. They're close friends who play a lot of golf together, both have incentive at the end of a tough year and their styles match up nicely.
Source : https://www.sportinglife.com/golf/news/qbe-shootout-team-by-team-guide/155678808